Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 2.136061 2.433921 2.757948 3.136588 3.566910 4.040792 4.602309
2025-09-21 1.643400 2.041738 2.513078 3.111841 3.852369 4.738523 5.880221
2025-09-28 1.358444 1.791430 2.334317 3.064823 4.022421 5.235712 6.891481
2025-10-05 1.260776 1.745970 2.383888 3.283725 4.520865 6.163368 8.512969
2025-10-12 1.123191 1.623104 2.308090 3.314808 4.757459 6.752240 9.725004
2025-10-19 1.039776 1.560908 2.301831 3.431470 5.111349 7.519999 11.243205
2025-10-26 0.931945 1.448769 2.208863 3.407385 5.251211 7.984257 12.352738
2025-11-02 0.842789 1.353318 2.128094 3.388476 5.389409 8.448048 13.490954
2025-11-09 0.756998 1.253072 2.028391 3.327096 5.450538 8.791409 14.462040
2025-11-16 0.706061 1.202681 2.000650 3.374603 5.684234 9.417929 15.930868
2025-11-23 0.659493 1.154313 1.970574 3.413249 5.903075 10.032974 17.426263
2025-11-30 0.609415 1.094740 1.915710 3.403414 6.036320 10.512177 18.725652
2025-12-07 0.551381 1.019255 1.832915 3.348506 6.106045 10.922258 20.004448
2025-12-14 0.503321 0.957369 1.769080 3.323107 6.229679 11.444828 21.550017
2025-12-21 0.457595 0.894522 1.696538 3.272866 6.300023 11.873323 22.956629
2025-12-28 0.454352 0.911586 1.772224 3.506549 6.921750 13.365327 26.499437
2026-01-04 0.425984 0.876541 1.745548 3.539730 7.159918 14.154482 28.757217
2026-01-11 0.410769 0.865995 1.764814 3.664266 7.587526 15.342445 31.908909
2026-01-18 0.380621 0.821655 1.712567 3.638555 7.708331 15.933571 33.902644
2026-01-25 0.353925 0.781787 1.665460 3.618370 7.837304 16.549726 36.001015
2026-02-01 0.325494 0.735279 1.600099 3.552847 7.863325 16.953607 37.682477
2026-02-08 0.309870 0.715335 1.589117 3.603560 8.143907 17.915350 40.658217
2026-02-15 0.294629 0.694702 1.574631 3.644815 8.406638 18.859605 43.679022